U.S. Pressure on Cuba to Oust Díaz-Canel Ties Energy Talks to Regime Change

The New York Times reports that during discussions between Washington and Havana, the Trump administration pressured Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel to resign as a condition for making progress on resolving Cuba’s energy shortage, which has intensified under the U.S. embargo.

Citing multiple sources familiar with the talks, the NYT says the United States told Díaz-Canel that no agreement could move forward while he remains in office. The discussions reportedly also demanded the dismissal of several senior officials who uphold the socialist revolutionary line, while reportedly not pressing for action against the Castro family.

The newspaper notes that the requested changes aim to remove symbolic leaders but leave the Communist regime intact, reflecting a policy pattern under Trump of seeking regime compliance without pursuing wholesale political transformation.

The 18th Summit of Heads of State and Government of the Non-Aligned Movement member countries held in Baku has continued with general debates.
Chaired by President of the Republic of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev, the event heard speeches from President of Pakistan Arif Alvi, President of Iran Hassan Rouhani, President of Turkmenistan Gurbangulu Berdimuhamedov, Prime Minister of Malaysia Mahathir bin Mohamad, President of Afghanistan Mohammad Ashraf Ghani, President of Cuba Miguel Diaz-Canel, President of Djibouti Ismail Omar Guelleh, Deputy Foreign Minister of Russia Sergey Vershinin, President of Algeria Abdelkader Bensalah, King Mswati III of eSwatini, President of Ghana Nana Akufo-Addo, President of Namibia Hage Gottfried Geingob, President of Equatorial Guinea Obiang Nguema Mbasogo, President of Sudan Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, Vice President of India Muppavarapu Venkaiah Naidu, Vice President of Vietnam Dang Thi Ngoc Thinh, Prime Minister of the People`s Republic of Bangladesh Sheikh Hasina, Prime Minister of Nepal Khadga Prasad Sharma Oli, and Prime Minister of Libya Fayez Seraj.

The speakers thanked the President, government and people of Azerbaijan for the excellent organization of the 18th Summit of the Non-Aligned Movement and the hospitality shown to the delegations.
Representative image for context; not directly related to the specific event in this article. License: CC BY 4.0. Source: Wikimedia Commons.

The NYT draws a parallel to Venezuela, where the United States ousted President Nicolás Maduro but subsequently pressed for changes in leadership by signaling an interim authority, illustrating a strategy of pressuring for regime behavior while managing public optics.

The report indicates Cuba has faced a severe energy shortage tied to intensified U.S. pressure, and that Havana had entered talks with the United States to resolve the crisis around the middle of the month.

Solar resource: GLOBAL HORIZONTAL IRRADIATION (GHI) - this map provides a summary of the estimated solar energy available for power generation and other energy applications. It represents the long-term average of daily/yearly totals of global horizontal irradiation (GHI). The underlying solar resource database is calculated by the Solargis model from atmospheric and satellite data with 15- or 30-minute time step. The effects of terrain are considered at nominal spatial resolution of 250 m. GHI is the most important parameter for energy yield calculation and performance assessment of flat-plate photovoltaic (PV) technologies. Further details available at: https://globalsolaratlas.info.
Representative image for context; not directly related to the specific event in this article. License: CC BY 4.0. Source: Wikimedia Commons.

Amid these discussions, President Trump continued to articulate a hardline stance toward Cuba, publicly signaling an intent to “take” Cuba, underscoring the administration’s willingness to pursue aggressive leverage even as talks occurred.

For U.S. readers, the story matters because Cuba’s energy gap affects regional energy markets and supply chains, and any shift in Cuba’s political direction could influence sanctions policy, Caribbean security dynamics, and broader U.S.-Latin America relations.

Background context: Díaz-Canel has led Cuba since 2018 as the head of a one-party socialist state, with the Castro family long central to Cuba’s political leadership. The embargo that constrains Cuba’s access to energy and finance has been a persistent feature of U.S.-Cuba relations and regional geopolitics for decades.

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