Hormuz Strait ships persist despite risk as rates surge amid conflict

The Strait of Hormuz, a narrow gateway for about a fifth of the world’s oil, has become a flashpoint again as the Middle East conflict intensifies. Data from shipping analytics firms shows that a number of vessels have continued to pass through the strait despite heightened risk, including Greek-flagged and Chinese-flagged ships.

Since the start of U.S. and Israeli airstrikes against Iran on the 28th of last month, at least 10 Greek-flagged vessels and at least two Chinese-flagged vessels have traversed the Hormuz Strait. In some cases, operators disabled AIS transponders or sailed at night to conceal their positions, a practice described within the trade as “entering the enemy’s bathtub” due to the danger involved.

The position of the city of Hormuz in Persian Golf, set on the strait at the bottom of the Persian Gulf, was no less strategic in the days of Indian Ocean sailing, when it controlled traffic between Gulf ports and the East, than it is today. BRAUN AND HOGENBERG, CIVITATES ORBIS TERRARUM, 1572 (2)
Representative image for context; not directly related to the specific event in this article. License: Public domain. Source: Wikimedia Commons.

Owners are betting that the elevated risk is offset by surging rates. War-related disruption has driven up insurance costs and crew wages, but a single successful voyage can yield outsized profits. Industry data show tanker owners’ daily earnings have reached highs not seen in six years, with some vessels commanding daily charters as high as roughly $500,000.

The financial incentives come as a political signal from Washington. On the 9th, President Donald Trump told Fox News that shippers should “have the courage” to pass through Hormuz, arguing that moving vessels could help prevent further spikes in oil prices. Industry leaders caution that such moves amount to a high-stakes gamble with crew safety and vessel risk as the price of success.

Safety concerns are mounting. Iranian forces have attacked ships in the Hormuz area with missiles and drones, causing damage to at least 16 vessels. U.S. and British intelligence agencies have also signaled that Iran has begun laying mines in the vicinity, raising the prospect of further incidents and broader disruption to global shipping.

Nature of Hormuz Island
Representative image for context; not directly related to the specific event in this article. License: CC BY-SA 4.0. Source: Wikimedia Commons.

Reuters notes that veteran shipowner John Fredriksen—an example cited from the Iran-Iraq war era—made substantial profits by continuing crude shipments despite missile attacks. The current situation, Reuters says, represents one of the boldest voyages in recent memory, underscoring how markets are trying to balance risk with the need to keep energy supplies flowing.

For U.S. readers, the developments matter beyond regional headlines. The Hormuz corridor is a key artery for crude and refined products, influencing global oil prices, supply chains, and inflation dynamics in the United States. Volatility here can ripple through U.S. energy markets, shipping insurance costs, and timelines for global manufacturers reliant on uninterrupted oil and chemical feedstocks. The situation also highlights the strategic importance of naval presence and deterrence in safeguarding international trade routes that underpin the global economy.

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