Tokyo faces unfounded toilet-paper scare amid Middle East oil-price spike.
As oil prices spiked on news of the Middle East conflict, Tokyo residents saw an unusual alert: social media posts warning of a possible toilet-paper shortage and urging people to stock up. The alarm was reported by Asahi Shimbun, which cited industry sources as saying the warnings were unfounded.
Industry officials emphasized that Japan’s toilet paper supply is robust. They noted that about 60% of the raw material comes from domestically recycled paper, with the remainder sourced from pulp imported from North and South America and Southeast Asia. They also pointed out that some petroleum-based additives are used in manufacturing, but the Middle East crisis has only a minimal effect on overall supply chains.

Despite these assurances, the hoarding chatter appears rooted in a collective memory of past shocks. The 1973 oil crisis left a lasting image of long lines and shortages, while Japan faced similar anxieties during the 2011 earthquake and the 2020 COVID-19 period. Officials say those episodes reflected panic buying and temporary logistics hiccups rather than true scarcities.
An industry spokesperson said production and shipments are operating normally and inventories are ample. They warned that baseless panic buying could itself disrupt markets, but stressed that a genuine shortage is unlikely if behavior remains orderly.

For international audiences, the episode illustrates how global oil-price movements can ripple into consumer psychology even in advanced economies with functioning supply chains. It also highlights how essential-goods markets respond to macro shocks, and why robust inventories matter for stability in consumer staples.
Context for non-Korean readers: Japan relies on a mix of locally recycled materials and imported pulp to manufacture goods like toilet paper. While global commodity swings can influence prices, Japan’s packaging and paper sectors have historically weathered shocks through diversified sources and inventory management. The report comes from Asahi Shimbun and notes the import mix includes pulp from the Americas and Southeast Asia.